International workshop on fine-scale rainfall nowcasting
31 MARCH 2014
Location: Ramada Hotel / Conference room Tiffany's
Desguinlei 94, 2018 Antwerp (Belgium)
The workshop is aimed at radar/meteo experts and the scientific RainGain partners, and will cover the following topics related to fine-scale and short-term rainfall forecasting, applicable to urban flood forecasting:
- Combination of (X- and C-band) radar data with Numerical Weather Prediction (provided by the national meteo offices MetOffice, RMI, Meteo France, KNMI, …)
- Advective-statistical forecast modelling
- Spatial and temporal downscaling
- Error/uncertainty estimation in function of forecast lead time / probabilistic forecasts
Agenda
- 8h30 Arrival & Welcome Coffee
- 9h00 Welcome and overview of the agenda
- 9h00 Radar-based rainfall forecasting by national meteo services (integration with numerical weather prediction)
Presentations:
· Maarten Reyniers, RMI Belgium
· Jean-Luc Cheze, MeteoFrance
· Jarmo Koistinen, FMI Finland
- 10h30 Coffee Break
- 11h00 Methods for fine-scale rainfall nowcasting (for urban drainage applications)
Presentations:
· UKMO's STEPS system for radar-based rainfall nowcasting and experiences incl. hydrological impact analysis: Clive Pierce, UK Met Office
· Recent experiences with STEPS for Belgium (PLURISK project): Loris Foresti, RMI Belgium
· Radar-based cell tracking and rainfall nowcasting: Lipen Wang, KU Leuven
· Danish experiences with short term nowcasting in urban drainage applications: Søren Thorndahl, Aalborg University
- 13h00 Lunch
- 14h00 Methods for fine-scale rainfall nowcasting (cont…) + quantification of uncertainties in rainfall nowcasting (statistical methods and stochastic modeling)
Presentations:
· Probabilistic radar nowcasting for urban runoff nowcasting: Miguel Rico-Ramirez, University of Bristol
· Probabilistic uncertainty estimation in urban runoff nowcasting: David Getreuer Jensen, Aalborg University
· Multifractal predictability and prediction: Daniel Schertzer, ParisTech
· Uncertainty analysis in urban drainage: Patrick Willems, KU Leuven
- 15h15 Coffee Break
- 15h45 Discussion on recommended methods for fine-scale rainfall nowcasting by RainGain WP2 + planning
- 16h40 Bus leaves hotel for Dinner Cruise
- 17h30-20h30 Flandria - Guided Tour Port of Antwerp
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